by OutlawWales » Thu Jan 02, 2014 9:25 am
As a Jays fan I have such mixed feelings! The teams listed in the bottom "tier" by almost everybody here would be in the top 1/2 of the Valley, IMO. So it's GREAT to have such fantastic competition night in and night out. But it's also damn scary. The Jays go to SH this weekend and that game has had me more worried than the Marquette game did -- precisely because, whatever you want to say about the bad losses, etc., SH is capable of beating every single team in this conference on a given night and it wouldn't take an absolute "fluke" performance. When the Jays were in the Valley, the bottom few teams like Evansville (most years) or SIU (the last few years) were "capable" of doing it (and did do it on occasion), but it always seemed like a shocking fluke when it happened. Here it wouldn't be all that surprising.
I think I'd break it down this way, based on what I've seen all year:
Nova
Creighton
X
Butler
Georgetown
St. John's
Marquette
Providence
Seton Hall
DePaul
I think Nova looks head and shoulders above everyone else. They have the results on the court to prove it. I would be shocked if they don't end up winning the conference regular season.
The second group is, to me, wide open.
Creighton has the offensive tools and has the ability to play great defense with adequate game planning and time to prepare -- but this team has routinely lost some games it should win in the middle of conference play the last couple years, and that was against much lesser competition than this year. One thing being in the BIG EAST has shown Creighton so far this year, too, is that our teams in all other sports have suffered some from adjusting to the travel, etc., as the season wears on -- I'm going to have to see that not happen to the basketball team before I believe it won't happen.
X and Butler both look scary to me. They play solid fundamental ball across the board, have great athletes, etc. Butler could very easily be undefeated right now if the ball bounced the other way once or twice in each of the losses. I was really impressed with how X really handled SJU.
G'Town and SJU are totally used the conference grind, etc. Both have the athletes to rise up and win the conference or at least finish in the top 2 or 3. Both also have shown an ability to lose games it seems like they should win, though. I keep thinking SJU is going to put it all together and go on a run. I think on a given night that team could run about anybody in the country out of the gym -- or miss a couple of shots and fold against about anybody in the country.
I think Marquette still has the tools to be able to compete on a level like the preseason predictions. There are some big bodies in there, and some really athletic guys who are almost unstoppable from about 10-12 feet in. They have shown an ability to defend over the course of the year, which should keep them in most games. Buzz is a great coach -- but watching the game at Creighton left me really scratching my head. I couldn't figure out what they were trying to do. Their guards would fly down the court and seem like they could get to the rim at will -- but about 4 feet away they'd stop, turn, and kick it out to somebody who couldn't/wouldn't even consider shooting it. Then they'd pass it around a while and end up taking a contested jumper. Every once in a while they'd let one of their longer guards drive in and pull up around the free throw line or so and consistently hit that shot -- but then they wouldn't do it for a long time. It seemed like they had opportunities to do a lot of things offensively that would have worked, but they just refused to do them. On defense, it was almost like they hadn't heard that anybody other than McDermott could shoot the ball -- how the scouting report would not indicate that you can't leave Ethan Wragge wide open four or five consecutive times down the court is beyond me. Such an enigma of a team.
Then the bottom three, for varying reasons. It honestly wouldn't surprise me to see any of those three end up winning just enough to end up in the top half of the conference, frankly.
So exciting -- so scary.