by sju88grad » Fri Apr 03, 2020 2:40 pm
Armyvet's comments on college football are relevant cuz it gives us a sense of whether college hoops will start up in November... trendlines-wise, football is the hurdle in front of hoops... an all-clear for football bodes well for basketball. A football no-go is the opposite.
Having said that, i think April is going to be a tough month. Just got to continue social distancing and not get complacent, and hopefully in 2 to 3 weeks numbers will flatten and improve. Stay safe everyone.[/quote]
Yeah, ArmyVet has been a long-time quality poster...and if he is true to his name, he's earned the right to talk about anything he wants to IMO.
What I see? Next to no chance we see stadiums full of people in 2020 at all. Maybe college FB televises closed games, but I don't think we see stadiums for any event until there is a vaccine and it's been widely distributed.
College hoops will follow what happens with college FB. Either games in front of no crowds, or no games. If tests are readily available by then perhaps every player will have to be tested a couple days before a game, basically quarantined until game time and repeated weekly. Anyone not tested is not allowed to be a part of it--refs, trainers, players, coaches. But even that is probably a pipe dream. Our best case is a limited conference season starting late and a modified tournament. An entire cancelled season wouldn't surprise me.
The problem is that places in the middle of the country are where NYC was a month ago. They'll think social isolation is overkill and it will spread slowly and 2 weeks will become 10. This spread isn't going to end unless the entire country--with the lone exception of healthcare workers--just stays at home. Nothing, and I mean nothing, open for 3 weeks. People indoors, staying to themselves (not having Covid neighborhood parties), for 3 weeks. Full stop. Until that happens, we'll be half-assing it as a country and this will continue well into the Fall.[/quote]
Great post Gumby. I live in LA and the state of California was one of the first to go on a "stay at home order" and, from what the experts can tell, has had a dramatic effect on keeping infections down in the state. Without getting into the politics of all of this, I am absolutely flabbergasted by the slow response in some states. Florida, especially, due to its large senior population. This is so depressing on so many levels but infuriating when you see some decisions (or non-decisions) being made that are having horrific ramifications.
I now know 7 people infected (including my sister, brother in law and 2 of their 4 kids). Luckily, it has been limited to fever, body aches and headaches. No respiratory issues, thank god and everyone is on the road to recovery.....scary stuff....