Tourney Watch 3/4/22

[stever20]

1 Gonzaga(a)-off this weekend
2 Baylor(a)-Sat vs Iowa St-won 75-68
3 Arizona(a)-Sat @ Cal-won 89-61
4 Auburn-Sat vs South Carolina-won 82-71
5 Kansas-Sat vs Texas-won 70-63
6 Kentucky-Sat @ Florida-won 71-63
7 Duke-Sat vs North Carolina-lost 81-94
8 Wisconsin(a)-Sun vs Nebraska-lost 73-74
9 Purdue-Sat vs Indiana-won 69-67
10 Texas Tech-Sat @ Oklahoma St-lost 51-52
11 Villanova-Sat @ Butler-won 78-59
12 Tennessee-Sat vs Arkansas-won 78-74
13 UCLA-Sat vs USC-won 75-68
14 Illinois-Sun vs Iowa
15 Arkansas-Sat @ Tennessee-lost 74-78
16 Providence(a)-off this weekend
17 Houston(a)-Sun @ Memphis-lost 61-75
18 Texas-Sat @ Kansas-lost 63-70
19 Connecticut-Sat vs DePaul-won 75-68
20 LSU-Sat vs Alabama-won 80-77
21 Alabama-Sat @ LSU-lost 77-80
22 Ohio St-Sun vs Michigan-lost 69-75
23 Iowa-Sun @ Illinois
24 St Mary's-off this weekend
25 USC-Sat @ UCLA-lost 68-75
26 Colorado St-Sat vs Boise St-won 71-68
27 Boise St(a)-Sat @ Colorado St-lost 67-71
28 Michigan St-Sun vs Maryland
29 Marquette-Sat vs St John's-won 85-77
30 Iowa St-Sat @ Baylor-lost 68-75
31 TCU-Sat @ West Virginia-lost 64-70
32 Seton Hall-Sat @ Creighton-won 65-60
33 Creighton-Sat vs Seton Hall-lost 60-65
34 Murray St(Auto)-Fri vs SE Missouri St-won 88-74 Sat vs Morehead St-won 71-67
35 San Diego St-Sat @ Nevada-won 79-78
36 Wake Forest-off this weekend
37 Wyoming-Sat vs Fresno St-won 68-64
38 Notre Dame-Sat vs Pittsburgh-won 78-54
39 Miami-Sat @ Syracuse-won 75-72
40 North Carolina-Sat @ Duke-won 94-81
41 San Francisco-Sat vs BYU-won 75-63
42 Davidson(a)-Sat @ Dayton-lost 76-82
43 Xavier-Sat vs Georgetown-won 97-75
---------first four-------
44 Rutgers-Sun vs Penn St-won 59-58
45 BYU-Fri vs Loyola Marymount-won 85-60 Sat vs San Francisco-lost 63-75
46 Memphis-Sun vs Houston-won 75-61
47 Indiana-Sat @ Purdue-lost 67-69
----------cutline----------
69 SMU-Sun vs Tulane
70 Michigan-Sun @ Ohio St-won 75-69
71 Florida-Sat vs Kentucky-lost 63-71
72 VCU-Sat @ Saint Louis-lost 65-69
73 Loyola-Chicago-Fri vs Bradley-won 66-50 Sat vs Northern Iowa-won 66-43 Sun vs Drake-won 64-58
74 Va Tech-Sat @ Clemson-lost 59-63
75 Oregon-Sat @ Wash St-lost 74-94
76 St Bonaventure-Fri vs Richmond-won 72-65

autos-
48 North Texas-Sat @ UTEP-lost 68-70
49 South Dakota St-Sat vs Omaha-won 87-79
50 Chattanooga-Sat vs Citadel-won 71-66 Sun vs Wofford
51 Iona-Sat vs Quinnipiac-won 79-71
52 Northern Iowa-Fri vs Illinois St-won 78-65 Sat vs Loyola-Chicago-lost 43-66
53 New Mexico St-Sat vs Utah Valley-won 62-46
54 Toledo-Fri vs Bowling Green-won 96-56
55 Vermont-Sun vs NJIT-won 98-59
56 Towson-Sun vs Northeastern-won 68-61
57 Princeton-Sat @ Penn-won 93-70
58 Texas St-Sat vs Louisiana-lost 72-79
59 Montana St-Sat vs Northern Colorado-won 87-85
60 Jacksonville St-Sat vs Jacksonville-lost 51-54
61 Long Beach St-Sat vs UC Riverside-won 73-72
62 Longwood-Fri vs NC A&T-won 79-65 Sat vs USC Upstate-won 79-70 Sun vs Winthrop-won 79-58
63 Colgate-Sun vs Lehigh-won 81-61
64 Cleveland St-off this weekend
----first four----------
65 Norfolk St-off this weekend
66 Texas Southern-Sat vs Prairie View
67 Bryant-Sat vs Mount St Mary's-won 70-69
68 New Orleans-Sat @ Nicholls St-lost 85-92

[kayako]

Historically we get just about 2 bid thieves according to John Gasaway, and that's counting teams that were probably outside but may have played themselves in anyway during their conference tournament runs. If we end up with 2 this year, the cutoff line would be between where BYU and Memphis is in currently.

My guess on where the likely thief will come from:

A10 - 70%
OVC - 35%
MWC - 25%
AAC - 25%
ACC - 15%
CUSA - 10%
PAC12 - 10%

[Husky_U]

Historically we get just about 2 bid thieves according to John Gasaway, and that's counting teams that were probably outside but may have played themselves in anyway during their conference tournament runs. If we end up with 2 this year, the cutoff line would be between where BYU and Memphis is in currently.

My guess on where the likely thief will come from:

A10 - 70%
OVC - 35%
MWC - 25%
AAC - 25%
ACC - 15%
CUSA - 10%
PAC12 - 10%

Gotta give the BE (Johnnies) at least a couple percentage points. Come on man!

[stever20]

I'll give you one that could be a bid thief- Big 12. Could easily see Oklahoma play themselves into the tourney in the Big 12 tourney. If they win tomorrow with Kansas St and then win in the 2/7 game in the QF, they would be at 18-15 with a loss in the SF. With 4 Q1 wins could potentially see them in. If they made the finals to get to 19-15 and 5 Q1 wins, I'd say that gets them in.

[stever20]

Big South now with 4 OT games in first 5 games...

The most OT games since 1997 in conference tournaments- also 4 by the 2021 Horizon.

Most OT periods in conference tournament in that time... 7 2021 Horizon and 2009 Big East. (yes that's the 6 OT game year).

[stever20]

man Toledo doesn't look like a team a 4 or 5 seed would want to draw in early round.

[stever20]

wonder what seed Murray St will ultimately get.

[Omaha1]

wonder what seed Murray St will ultimately get.

I could see Murray and Creighton is a 7-10 game.

[stever20]

Did you see what LSU coach Kim Mulkey did tonight? She makes Dan Hurley seem calm.
https://twitter.com/TreyWallace_/status ... 3749510147

[kayako]

Did you see what LSU coach Kim Mulkey did tonight? She makes Dan Hurley seem calm.
https://twitter.com/TreyWallace_/status ... 3749510147

Didn't realize she left Baylor.